⚾ Baseball Betting Guide for August 25 – August 27

Strategies
1 year ago
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Seattle Mariners versus New York Yankees

Taking a look at the two teams, the Yankees have a slight advantage in terms of win-loss record and current record over the last ten games. The Yankees are 8th in the Power Rankings, while the Mariners come in at 15th. The MLB Strength Oscillator interestingly gives the Mariners the edge at +4.22 compared to +1.91 for the Yankees, while the Power Ranking Indicator gives a slight advantage to the Yankees at +20 to +17.

Pitching match ups:

Friday August 25, Ariel Miranda versus CC Sabathia

Miranda is 8-6 with a 4.78 ERA, but only 1-2 over the last nine starts. He’s been a solid bet with a +325 mark according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Sabathia is 10-5 with a 3.99 ERA and is 1-2 over the last four starts. Also a solid bet, Sabathia is in the green at +134 and has been on the rise since being at -894 at the start of the season. Sabathia is on a better trend and the Yankees are the better team at the moment, so I pick the Yankees in game one.

Saturday August 26, Yovani Gallardo versus Sonny Gray

Gallardo is 5-9 with a 5.75 ERA and is 0-2 in the last two starts. He’s been up and down in terms of profit, currently in the red at -16. Gray is better overall in terms of pure numbers, coming in at 7-8 with a 3.38 ERA. Looking deeper, though, he is only 1-4 over the last five decisions and has been a terrible bet, at -1301 on the Profit Oscillator. On paper, this appears to be a Yankees pick, but can’t ignore the wide margin in profit and will go with the Mariners.

Sunday August 27, Andrew Albers versus Massahiro Tanaka

Allbers is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA in his only two games this season. He’s coming in at -28 on the profit oscillator but has a small sample size, as he’s appeared in only 19 Major League games. Tanaka is quite mediocre in terms of win-loss and ERA, but hasd been an incredible bet. He’s 9-10 with a 4.86 ERA, but +1314 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. This game is an easy call. I go with the Yankees in this one to give them the series, two games to one.

Milwaukee Brewers versus Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are the hottest team in the league and will likely be the favorites in all three games, even with the uncertainty as to who will start Saturday. They are the top team by a wide margin in terms of Team Volatility. This means they win with stunning regularity when favorites and lose when underdogs. In terms of Power Ranking, they are first while the Brewers are 10th. Los Angeles also holds a large advantage in terms of MLB Strength Oscillator, at +11.84 to -0.31. A little more surprising is the slim +28 to +24 edge for the Dodgers in the Power Ranking Indicator.

Pitching match ups:

Friday August 25, Chase Anderson versus Kenta Maeda

Anderson is 7-2 with a 2.83 ERA and is 5-1 over the last six decisions. While he as does well overall, is only -794 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, making him a poor bet. Maeda is 11-5 with a 3.88 ERA and is 6-2 over the last eight. Surprising, he is also in the red at -398 and down since 2016. The Dodgers are the best team there is nothing in the pitching match ups that screams “Brewers”, so I pick the Dodgers in this one.

Saturday August 26, Zach Davies versus Undecided

In this on, Alex Wood was expected to start for the Dodgers, but he has been placed on the DL after receiving a cortisone shot for a chest injury. Davies is 14-7 with a 4.09 ERA and 3-3 over the last six starts. He’s been an outstanding bet at +1648 and with the uncertainty as to who will start for the Dodgers and the, I give a slight edge to the Brewers in this one.

Sunday August 27, Jimmy Nelson versus Yu Darvish

Nelson is 9-5 with a 3.79 ERA but only 1-2 over his last eight starts. While being a terrible bet overall at -1014, that number is slightly on the rise. Darvish is on the 10-day DL, but is scheduled for another bull pen session on Thursday and is still listed as the starter for this game. He’s 8-9 with a 3.83 ERA and also hasn’t been a good bet, at -858 on the Profit Oscillator. Assuming Darvish goes, I give the advantage to the Dodgers in this one, winning the weekend series.

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